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The S&P 500 rose 2.35 percent to 7,549.94 on 9 November, the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.74 percent to 25,253.14 and the Dow added 1,104.02 points to 52,389.75 as investors bought back last week's heavy losses.
Sources XinhuaCboeSwingfolio Research
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases October consumer prices at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on 10 November, and for the first time in the current cycle the report will omit a year-over-year headline figure because October 2025 prices were never collected during that year's government shutdown.
Sources Stock TitanNowflation
Bitcoin traded around $74,800 late on 9 November, barely changed, after bouncing from an 11-week low near $73,500 over the weekend, even as the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.74 percent.
Taiwan's Taiex rose as much as 5 percent on Monday, its best session since 31 July, ending a seven-session decline that had pushed the technology-heavy benchmark into bear territory.
A week that began with Democrats winning both chambers of Congress ended with the Nasdaq roughly $2 trillion below its peak, Taiwan's Taiex in a bear market and then up as much as 5 percent on short-selling curbs, and SoftBank's five-year credit default swaps at 466 basis points, the widest since 2022. AI companies have priced more than $300 billion of equity this year with about $100 billion queued, while OpenAI settled for $11 billion at a $1.25 trillion valuation. The repricing is not about demand for models. It is about who pays for the build-out, and what regulation will cost.
Sources The GuardianReuters (via StreetInsider)AI Weekly (summarising The Information)TechCrunch
Brent fell 64 cents, or 0.64 percent, to $97.67 a barrel by 11:34 GMT and West Texas Intermediate lost 0.40 percent to $90.51 after President Donald Trump told CNN that renewed attacks on Iran were highly unlikely while talks to end the conflict progress.
AI companies sold or priced more than $300 billion of stock and mandatory convertibles in 2026, excluding Anthropic's coming IPO, with roughly $100 billion more in the pipeline, The Information reported.
Brent crude for January settled at $98.32 a barrel on Friday, up 3 cents, but about 17 percent lower on the week, its steepest weekly percentage decline since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and its biggest in absolute terms in LSEG data going back to 1988.
Sources Reuters
CME FedWatch put the probability of a quarter-point rate rise at the December 8-9 meeting at 76.8 percent on Friday, up from 66.9 percent a week earlier, after October payrolls rose 165,000 and unemployment slipped to 4.1 percent.
Sources ING ThinkInvestmentNews
Foreign portfolio investors bought a net 38,971 crore rupees of Indian equities this week, according to NSDL data, reversing an outflow that had followed the global rotation into AI-linked markets.
Sources The Indian Economic Observer
US nonfarm payroll employment rose by 165,000 in October, well above the 48,000 average monthly gain of the previous year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.
The S&P 500 rose 0.3 percent to 7,376.86 on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite gained more than 1 percent, while the Dow fell 0.4 percent, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst week since June.
Sources Yahoo FinanceCapital Brief
Airbnb reported third-quarter revenue of $4.87 billion, up 19 percent, with gross booking value of $27.7 billion and net income of $1.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $2.51 billion at a 52 percent margin.
Sources AirbnbStockStory
Wall Street's chip-led rally broke on Thursday after Democratic gains in the midterms raised the prospect of tighter AI and data centre policy. The Nasdaq fell about 5.5 percent and the S&P 500 4.4 percent, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down more than 12 percent as Nvidia and Qualcomm led losses.
OpenAI president Greg Brockman told a Wall Street Journal conference that the company could be ready for an initial public offering in 2027, answering "I think so" when asked.
Sources TechCrunch
The US October employment report is scheduled for 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday. FactSet's median of 24 estimates puts nonfarm payrolls at 65,000, up from 29,000 in September, with forecasts ranging from 50,000 to 125,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.2 percent.
Sources FactSet Insight
The Dow rose 3%, more than 1,500 points, its best session since April 2025, and the S&P 500 added 1.6% as investors priced a divided Washington after Democrats swept Congress.
Sources Yahoo FinanceEuronews
Qualcomm reported fiscal fourth-quarter non-GAAP revenue of $10.44 billion, down 7%, with handset chip sales down 26% to $5.14 billion while automotive rose 89% to $1.99 billion.
Sources Qualcomm (SEC filing)CNBC
Snap posted third-quarter revenue of $1.72 billion, up 14% from a year earlier, with net income of $56 million and adjusted EBITDA of $383 million. Global daily active users reached 495 million, short of the 499 million analysts expected, and revenue also came in just below consensus.
Sources Snap Inc. (SEC filing)CNBC
AMD reported third-quarter revenue of $13.4 billion, up 45% from a year earlier and above the top of its own guidance, with data-center sales of $8.5 billion nearly double the year-earlier figure.
Sources AMD
Wall Street split on election day: the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.83% to 25,372.01 and the S&P 500 added 0.36% to 7,568.92 as chip shares rebounded, while the Dow fell 0.38% to 51,786.72 after Apple's margin guidance.
Sources InvestradeVistap Global
Palantir's third-quarter revenue rose 96% to $2.31 billion, the first quarter above $2 billion, as U.S. commercial sales climbed 148% to $984 million and overtook U.S.
Sources Palantir (Business Wire)
All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and governorships in 36 states are on Tuesday's ballot, with control of Congress deciding how much of the president's remaining agenda can pass.
Sources Al JazeeraBloomberg
The KOSPI fell 145.02 points, or 2.48%, to 5,714.06 by late Tuesday morning in Seoul, with Samsung Electronics down 2.95% and SK hynix down 3.8% as investors re-priced the cost of AI infrastructure.
President Lee Jae-myung told the National Assembly that 2027 spending will rise 12.8% to 820.9 trillion won, the largest budget on record, with 21.3 trillion won, nearly double this year's figure, going to semiconductors, physical AI and AI data centres.
Sources Yonhap News AgencyCNBC
Asian equities fell less than Wall Street on Monday and US futures turned higher after the Nasdaq 100 slid 3.5% on Friday, its worst day since June, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 7.2%.
Sources Bloomberg
The People's Bank of China, the securities regulator and the banking regulator were due to meet major banks on Monday to study improvements to a relending facility that finances share buybacks and stake purchases, according to mainland media reports.
Brent crude dropped 2.9% to $110.19 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate fell 3% to $100.99 after reports that President Donald Trump wants to give diplomacy more time before deciding whether to resume strikes on Iran following Tuesday's midterm elections.
Sources Bloomberg
Markets enter the week with three variables that no model release controls. Friday's 3.5% fall in the Nasdaq 100 was the sharpest since June and the semiconductor index lost 7.2%, with futures only partly recovering in Asia. Tuesday's US midterms add policy risk, and Brent's slide to $110.19 rests on a diplomatic pause rather than a settlement with Iran. In China, regulators convened banks to widen buyback funding after the Shanghai Composite's 6.3% October decline. The correction, in other words, is being priced against politics and energy as much as against earnings.
Binance said on Saturday it had replenished 90% of the roughly $6.3bn drained from its hot wallets on 29 October, drawing on company funds, its SAFU reserve and treasury to rebuy tokens; the rest sits in less liquid assets.
Sources AP NewsNBC NewsChainalysis
S&P Global Ratings lowered its outlook on Meta's AA- credit rating to negative from stable on Friday, citing negative free operating cash flow and spending it expects to stay elevated.
China's official NBS manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 in October from 50.1 in September, missing forecasts of 50 and marking the lowest reading since July. Output, new orders, export orders and purchasing activity all dropped below the 50 line, employment held at 48.4, and input-cost inflation eased to 56.8 from 60.8.
Sources Trading Economics (NBS data)Myfxbook economic calendar
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.86% to 25,437.00 on Friday, the S&P 500 lost 1.82% to 7,580.07 and the Dow dropped 1.09% to 51,770.31, leaving the S&P 500 with a third straight weekly loss.
Intel closed down 28.6% at $65.76 on Friday, its steepest one-day fall since July 1974, after guiding fourth-quarter revenue to $15-16 billion against roughly $17 billion expected and earnings of 25 cents a share against 43 cents forecast.
Sources Reuters (via StreetInsider)Fortune / Associated PressYahoo Finance
OpenAI trimmed its latest round by $10 billion and is now seeking about $20 billion at a $1.25 trillion valuation rather than $30 billion at $1.4 trillion, the Financial Times reported on Friday and Reuters carried.
The S&P 500 lost 0.31% to 7,721.02 and the Nasdaq Composite 1.36% to 26,188.08 on Thursday, while the Russell 2000 advanced - a split that concentrated the damage in megacap technology.
Real GDP rose at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, the BEA's advance estimate showed, up from 2.2% in the second, on stronger investment, consumer spending and government outlays partly offset by lower exports.
Sources US Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP)US Bureau of Economic Analysis (Personal Income and Outlays)
Initial claims for unemployment benefits fell 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 194,000 in the week to 24 October, below the 199,000 forecast and close to July's 189,000 reading, the lowest since 1969.
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 3.75%-4% on a 10-2 vote, with Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack preferring a quarter-point increase. The statement said inflation “remains elevated” and that more information is needed before the next move, while describing activity as expanding at a strong pace and capital investment as robust.
Samsung Electronics reported third-quarter revenue of KRW 195.3tn and operating profit of KRW 107.4tn, up 783% from a year earlier and the first time any technology company has cleared KRW 100tn in a single quarter.
US equity futures fell before Thursday's open after Alphabet dropped about 10% in extended trading on weaker-than-expected revenue across most core businesses, reviving doubts about the returns on AI spending.
Sources Trading EconomicsYahoo Finance
China's AI trade has turned. The STAR50 index of chip and AI names is down about 40% in less than four months, erasing roughly $480bn in market value, while the CSI 300 has fallen about 20% from its June peak and entered a bear market.
US stocks closed higher on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.60% to 7,722.60 and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.18% to 26,477.81, as chip shares extended a rebound on the eve of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Sources The Motley FoolMarket Briefer
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose 7.5 points to 91.7 in October from an upwardly revised 84.2 in September, recovering to June levels and beating forecasts that clustered near 81.
Sources The Conference Board (via PR Newswire)Morningstar / Dow Jones
Brent for December fell 1.2 per cent to $115.37 a barrel as a Saudi delegation led by defence minister Khalid bin Salman arrived in Tehran, with Pakistani and Turkish officials due to join the talks.
Sources PriceOfOilCNBC
US equities opened the week higher as Anthropic's filing revived the AI trade. The S&P 500 added 0.70 per cent to 7,676.77, the Nasdaq Composite 0.83 per cent to 26,169.38 and the Dow 0.28 per cent to 52,361.58.
Sources Reuters (via Yahoo Finance)
Korean chipmakers led an early rebound in Seoul, with Samsung Electronics up 2.82 per cent and SK hynix up 3.45 per cent after the Philadelphia semiconductor index gained 2.82 per cent in New York.
Sources Seoul Economic Daily
Reuters outlines five economic challenges facing Brazil’s re-elected President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The immediate policy conversation is broader than election reaction: fiscal credibility, growth, inflation and investor confidence will shape how the next administration is judged.
Sources Reuters
Asian markets opened cautiously while Brent crude moved down from a six-month peak, according to Reuters. The combination leaves investors balancing energy-price pressure against the possibility that a pullback in oil can ease some inflation concerns.
Sources Reuters
The Philippine peso has fallen to a reported record low of 63.81 per US dollar. A weaker currency can raise imported-cost pressure, making the move relevant beyond foreign-exchange desks as policymakers weigh growth, inflation and financial stability.
Sources Philippine Canadian Inquirer
The economic news this week is a study in transmission channels. Brazil’s new political chapter is being framed through fiscal and growth challenges; Asian trading began cautiously as Brent eased from a six-month high; and the Philippine peso touched a record low. None of these developments should be collapsed into one global signal, but together they show how political credibility, commodity prices and imported inflation continue to meet in market pricing.
The FOMC meets on 27-28 October with the funds rate at 3.75%-4.00%, and 94 of 100 economists polled by Reuters expect no change after September's quarter-point increase.
Sources ReutersFederal Reserve
Microsoft and Alphabet report after the close on 28 October, hours after the Federal Reserve's decision, and Amazon follows on 29 October. Microsoft guided to revenue of $89.85bn-$90.95bn and Azure growth of about 45% at constant currency; Amazon guided to $197bn-$202bn of net sales.
Sources StockTitanSeeking Alpha
Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll published on 23 October expect the Bank of Canada to raise its overnight rate a quarter point to 2.50% on 28 October, its first move in a year, after Governor Tiff Macklem said the inflation outlook would be higher than July's forecast.
US stocks fell on Friday as Brent settled at $116.72 a barrel, up 3.1% and its highest close since April, after Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia. The Dow lost 652.82 points, or 1.2%, to 52,215.16 while the S&P 500 slipped 0.5% to 7,623.68 and the Nasdaq 0.2% to 25,955.34 as chip shares steadied.
Sources Reuters
American Express will cut 5% of its global workforce, about 3,500 of 78,000 jobs, after third-quarter adjusted earnings of $4.68 a share beat the $4.49 analysts expected.
Some 70,000 police and gendarmes, backed by helicopters, armoured vehicles and water cannon, will be deployed across France on Saturday, and the Louvre and other Paris museums will shut, as the government tries to avoid a repeat of last weekend's looting.
The S&P 500 fell 93.74 points, or 1.2%, to 7,663.43 on Thursday, its worst session since July, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 694 points, or 2.6%, to 26,008.86 and the Dow edged up 0.02% to 52,867.98.
Sources Bloomberg via The Business TimesAssociated PressReuters via Investing.com
Brent crude rose about 3% to top $112 a barrel for the first time since 18 May and was holding near $113 in early Asian trade on Friday. Yemen's Houthis hit several Saudi targets on Wednesday: two people were killed and eight wounded at a civilian airport in Dammam, and a drone attack on an oilfield killed two.
MSCI's regional benchmark slipped 0.3% for a second day on Friday, around levels last seen in July, with Japan's Topix down 0.4% and Australia's ASX 200 0.3% in early trade while Hang Seng futures rose 0.8%.
Sources Bloomberg via The Business TimesThe Herald Business (Korea Herald)
US indexes rose on 21 October as space and semiconductor shares rallied: the Dow added 360.21 points, or 0.7%, to 52,856.09, the Nasdaq Composite climbed 278.04 points, or 1.05%, to 26,702.86 and the S&P 500 gained 44.60 points, or 0.6%, to 7,757.17.
Sources GoodReturns
Meta reported third-quarter revenue of $64 billion, up 26% from a year earlier and ahead of expectations, while costs and expenses rose 68%. On the call chief financial officer Susan Li confirmed plans for a new class of non-voting stock distributed to existing holders through a stock dividend, usable for raising capital, employee compensation and acquisitions while preserving current Class A and B voting power.
Sources TechCrunchTechCrunch
Blackstone's AI chief Jas Khaira said recent stress in AI infrastructure credit reflects rising rates, hotter inflation and wider spreads rather than fragile lenders, arguing most data-centre debt sits behind hyperscalers with investment-grade balance sheets.
Sources TechCrunch
SpaceX reported $14.6bn of third-quarter revenue and $4.4bn of net income, reversing a $1bn loss a year earlier, with its Super Intelligence unit — Grok, the Cursor coding tool and a 1.7GW neocloud — contributing $7.5bn, or 52% of the top line.
Sources TechCrunch
Brent fell about 1% to $108.44 by late morning in New York after touching $111.99, its highest in five months, as traders weighed Houthi claims of attacks on Saudi energy and airport sites against a meeting between Iran's president and Pakistan's army chief, a US-Iran mediator.
Sources Reuters via MarineLink
The Dow rose 547.95 points, or 1.05%, to 52,513.98 on Tuesday while the S&P 500 added 0.31% to 7,714.52 and the Nasdaq slipped 0.03% to 26,421.84. Healthcare hit a record high, led by Eli Lilly, UnitedHealth, Merck and Amgen, while defensive sectors and the Russell 2000 outperformed and energy fell with oil.
Sources Reuters via Kitco News
China's economy grew 4.5% year on year in the third quarter, beating a 4.4% poll and recovering from a three-year low of 4.3%, national statistics bureau data showed.
Sources Yahoo Finance
US stocks opened the week with a tech-led bounce: the Nasdaq rose 1.11% to 26,430.89 and the S&P 500 added 0.41% to 7,690.73, while the Dow slipped 0.07% to 51,966.03 as semiconductor shares ended a long losing run.
Sources Yahoo Finance
Brent steadied above $109 a barrel, roughly 79% higher than a year earlier, as attacks on commercial vessels and exchanges between Saudi Arabia and Houthi forces kept supply risk in the price.
Sources Trading Economics
The latest economic signals offer a mixed picture. One international finance official describes the global economy as resilient, while a central-bank observation in Australia points to some easing in labour-market conditions. At the company level, a crowded earnings calendar will test whether the optimism embedded in parts of the market is supported by results. The useful reading is not that one indicator has settled the outlook, but that the policy and corporate narratives are pulling in different directions. Investors will be watching the interaction between slower...
Sources Reuters
Reuters reports that the chair of the International Monetary and Financial Committee described the global economy as resilient. The assessment comes with geopolitical and policy tensions still visible, making resilience a condition to test rather than a guarantee.
Sources Reuters
A report carried by Yahoo Finance says an Australian central banker sees evidence that labour-market conditions are easing. The observation matters for the policy outlook, although it does not by itself determine the next rate decision.
Sources Yahoo Finance
Investopedia’s weekly preview points to Meta and Tesla among the companies due to report, alongside results from airlines, streaming firms and other major businesses.
Sources Investopedia
The IMF’s October World Economic Outlook projects global growth of 3.1% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027, while headline inflation is expected to rise to 4.7% this year before easing.
Sources International Monetary Fund
The IMF’s policy-setting committee says the global economy has absorbed recent shocks better than expected, but warns that wars, trade disruptions, energy pressures, debt and higher refinancing costs are tightening the room for manoeuvre.
Sources International Monetary Fund
Federal Reserve data show US industrial production increased 0.7% in September after a 0.1% rise in August. Manufacturing output grew 0.3%, while utilities rose 3.5%; the quarterly measure of total industrial production advanced at a 2.8% annual rate.
Reuters’ U.S. market board shows investors balancing continued strength in AI-linked shares against higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty. The latest snapshot keeps the market story narrow: technology remains a source of momentum, but energy costs and Treasury yields can quickly change the appetite for risk across the major indexes.
Sources Reuters
Reuters’ currency and commodities snapshot shows the dollar, oil, gold and copper still moving together as investors price geopolitical risk and the outlook for growth.
Sources Reuters
Reuters’ Asia market page describes a mixed regional tone as investors weigh oil, currency moves and the next signals from central banks. The uneven backdrop leaves markets exposed to fresh macro data: technology-led optimism can support risk appetite, but higher energy costs or a firmer dollar can quickly reverse that positioning.
Sources Reuters
US producer prices rose 1.3 percent in September from August and 6.3 percent over the year, the fastest monthly gain since March 2022 and the highest annual rate since December 2022, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.
US stocks closed higher on Thursday after a weak start, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.08 percent to 52,177.69, the S&P 500 up 0.33 percent to 7,744.06 and the Nasdaq Composite ahead just 0.08 percent at 26,713.03 after falling as much as 1.4 percent intraday.
Spot gold rose about 1.3 percent to $4,158.63 an ounce on Thursday, recovering from a one-week low, while spot silver jumped roughly 3.2 percent to near $57.31 as the dollar softened.
Sources CNBCMoneycontrol
Asia's artificial intelligence trade cracked on Thursday after the hot US inflation print. South Korea's Kospi fell about 8 percent to 5,527, with SK Hynix down 11 percent and Samsung Electronics nearly 10 percent.
Sources CNBCAP NewsNikkei Asia
US consumer price inflation accelerated to 3.7 percent in the year to September from 3.4 percent in August, with prices up 0.6 percent on the month, both above forecasts.
Gold climbed back above $4,150 an ounce on Thursday, snapping a three-day slide, as US bond yields and the dollar eased from their post-inflation peaks and haven demand returned.
Crude rose on 14 October after an administrative building belonging to Saudi Arabia’s state oil company Saudi Aramco in Dhahran was attacked, triggering a limited fire, the energy ministry said.
Sources The Economic Times
Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report third-quarter results on Wednesday 14 October, rounding out the six largest U.S. banks after a strong opening to the season.
Sources Investing.comBank of America
Gold held above $4,150 an ounce on Wednesday as a softer dollar offered support and traders waited for the September U.S. consumer price report. Rising oil prices have stoked inflation worries and lifted expectations of another Federal Reserve rate increase, with markets assigning roughly an 88 percent chance of a December hike.
Third-quarter earnings season opens on Tuesday 13 October with JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs reporting before the bell, followed by more of the largest six U.S.
Sources ClarinMorningstar / MarketWatch
Oil rose to an October high at the start of the week after weekend attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and continued uncertainty around negotiations with Iran, lifting inflation worries and pushing back hopes of substantially lighter interest rates.
Sources Interactive Brokers
Gold eased to around $4,164 an ounce on 12 October, extending an early-week retreat as dollar strength and higher oil prices weighed on the metal ahead of U.S. consumer and producer inflation data.
Sources Markets.com
Third-quarter results arrive this week into an unusual market: the S&P 500 has just posted another record week while the 10-year Treasury yield sits above 5%, its highest in more than two decades. Analysts expect index earnings growth near 30%, heavily concentrated in technology. The tension is financing: investors have demanded higher yields to fund the AI build-out, the investment-grade credit default swap index has jumped to its highest since the Iran war began, and refinancing costs rise as that debt matures. Banks open the season on Tuesday.
Oil finished the week choppy and politics made it worse. President Trump announced an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine effective immediately, days after a diesel-supply arrangement with Moscow that senators in both parties called potentially illegal; neither belligerent had confirmed the truce as Asian markets opened. Brent traded near $103.5 a barrel, well below its recent $109.97 peak but roughly 57% above a year ago, with the Strait of Hormuz still the structural risk. September US inflation data on 14 October is the next test for headline prices.
Sources Boston Herald (Bloomberg)Fox NewsFree Malaysia Today (Reuters)
Wall Street heads into third-quarter earnings season with the S&P 500 coming off a record-setting week and the big banks opening the reporting period on Tuesday.
Asian share markets opened cautiously on Monday as earnings season loomed over high technology valuations, with South Korean stocks down 1.1% and Japanese markets shut for a holiday.
Sources Free Malaysia Today (Reuters)
Gold and silver rebounded from two-month lows as long-dated Treasury yields eased from multi-decade highs, with spot gold up about 1.5% near $4,194 an ounce on 11 October and silver up almost 3% at about $60.70.
US wireless carriers sold off hard on Friday after SpaceX agreed to buy a nationwide portfolio of 800 MHz low-band licences from Grain Management to extend Starlink into mobile service.
US employers added just 29,000 jobs in September, far below the roughly 90,000 economists expected, and August gains were revised down, leaving traders pricing only about a one-in-four chance of a rate rise at the Federal Reserve's 27-28 October meeting and an overwhelmingly high probability of a December move.
OpenAI told investors its annualised revenue was about $50bn at the end of September, roughly $20bn below the $68bn to $70bn figures reported earlier, a person familiar with the matter and the Financial Times said.
Sources CNBCReutersThe Economic Times
US stocks finished a volatile week higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.59 per cent to 7,811.54, the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.83 per cent to 51,654.95 and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.64 per cent to 27,366.17.
Delta Air Lines lowered its annual profit forecast by nearly a quarter at the midpoint on October 9, saying fuel costs would add about $6 billion to its bill this year.
Sources Reuters (via Duke FM)AeroTime
Humana shares jumped roughly 12 per cent on October 9 after the insurer said 95 per cent of its Medicare Advantage members will be enrolled in plans rated four stars or higher for 2027, up from about 20 per cent in 2026 and above analyst expectations.
Sources CNBCThe Wall Street Journal
US stocks ended mixed on October 8 after a Financial Times report that OpenAI's annualised revenue was about $20 billion below earlier estimates reignited doubts about AI spending, sending chip shares sharply lower.
Sources NDTV ProfitReuters (via Free Malaysia Today)Rio Times
Crude prices jumped on October 8 after attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and US output cuts tied to hurricane activity raised supply fears. Front-month WTI and Brent settled up about 3.6% and 4.1% respectively, with Brent holding above $100 a barrel.
Sources InvestopediaReuters (via Free Malaysia Today)Swingfolio
The dollar moved towards its strongest level in 18 months on October 8, while the euro weakened to its lowest since May 2025, as minutes from the US Federal Reserve showed policymakers see inflation as the biggest risk and a renewed bond selloff lifted yields.
Sources Reuters (via Kitco News)Central Oregon Daily NewsEuronext
US stocks closed lower on October 7, a day after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq set record closes, as the 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.36% intraday, its highest since 2002, and the 30-year neared 5.73%.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting, published October 7, showed most participants judged that another increase in the target range would likely be appropriate by year end.
Sources SwingfolioRio Times
SpaceX is negotiating roughly $40bn to fund purchases of Nvidia AI chips, with about $10bn expected from bank loans and the remaining ~$30bn through investment-grade bonds, according to media reports.
The S&P 500 rose 0.58% to a record 7,818.93, its first close above 7,800, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.45% to another all-time high of 27,599.79 and the Dow gained 0.49% to 51,521.28.
Constellation Energy shares rose 12.3% after it agreed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Google to supply 890 megawatts of new nuclear capacity on the PJM grid, backed by more than $4.3 billion of Constellation investment.
Spot gold rose about 0.3% to roughly $4,152 an ounce and gold futures added 0.5% on Tuesday, as a decline in crude oil eased some inflation pressure on markets.
Sources Yahoo FinanceConvex
Wall Street closed near its highs, with the S&P 500 at 7,773.95, up 0.66%, and the Nasdaq up 1.05% as technology led. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.31%, close to its highest since 2002, and gold eased to about $4,134 an ounce.
Sources Rio TimesTraders Union
Visa announced a strategic collaboration with OpenAI to enable Visa payments within AI-agent commerce experiences, unveiled at the Visa Payments Forum in San Francisco.
Sources Visa
A record closing high on the Nasdaq failed to carry into Seoul, where the Kospi opened higher and then slipped to 7,000.99 in early trade on its first session after a long holiday.
Oil tells the story of the quarter in one number: Brent near $102 a barrel, some 40% above its prewar level, with the Strait of Hormuz disputed-closed for a seventh month. This week brought both a partial recovery — Gulf exports back near prewar volumes via pipelines — and fresh tanker strikes near Oman and inside the strait, while Iran restated seven conditions for reopening. The G7's 100-million-barrel reserve release is a buffer, not a fix, roughly one day of world consumption spread over four months. The risk is higher fuel costs feeding inflation and borrowing costs.
As Anthropic moves toward a listing that could value it above $2 trillion, its prospectus frames the boom's surging costs alongside its ambitions, and Reuters reported the filing casts an AI backlash as a risk. The market's appetite is not unconditional: Cerebras, which listed earlier this year, fell to a post-IPO low as lockups expired and Nvidia's dominance weighed. The contrast — record demand for the biggest private labs against a tougher reception for a smaller pure-play — suggests investors are pricing scale and revenue visibility, not the category. Q4 will test the window.
At least two vessels were hit over the weekend in waters near Oman and inside the Strait of Hormuz, Britain's maritime trade agency reported, as Tehran restated that the waterway will not reopen until seven conditions tied to a June memorandum are met.
Middle East crude exports have rebounded to roughly prewar volumes despite the U.S. naval blockade that has cut Iran's own exports to near zero, analysts say. JPMorgan put regional exports at about 17.5 million barrels a day, or 98% of prewar levels, and Kpler said the September figure was at least 16.5 million.
Sources Fortune
New five-year census data showed Japanese nationals fell 3.5% to 119.1 million since 2020, a steeper drop than the prior tally, while foreign residents rose 40% to a record 3.84 million.
Sources Fortune
The G7 agreed on Friday to release up to 100 million barrels of crude and refined products from emergency reserves over four months, coordinated through the International Energy Agency, with a substantial diesel release front-loaded into the first 20 days.
Nvidia shares closed at an all-time high on Friday for the first time since May, lifting the chipmaker's market value to about $5.7 trillion and leaving it less than $300 billion short of the $6 trillion threshold no company has ever crossed.
Sources QuartzCrypto Briefing
Euro-area annual inflation is expected to reach 3.8% in September, up from 3.2% in August and above market expectations of 3.6%, according to Eurostat's flash estimate, the highest reading in three years.
US employers added 29,000 jobs in September, far below the roughly 84,000 economists expected, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% from 4.1%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.
Anthropic's draft IPO prospectus, filed confidentially with the SEC, sketches a listing that could value the AI company at more than $2 trillion, following a $65 billion private round at a $965 billion valuation.
Nike reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $11.2 billion, down 4% from a year earlier, with diluted earnings of $0.48 a share that beat forecasts as gross margin widened to 42.8%.
The September employment report is due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday, and economists expect hiring to slow after August's upside surprise. FactSet's consensus points to roughly 95,000 new jobs with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%, according to Morningstar, while published tracker estimates range from about 90,000 to 120,000.
Sources MorningstarMitrade Insights
Micron reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $54.23 billion, up 379% from a year earlier, with non-GAAP earnings of $33.42 a diluted share. The company guided to $61.5 billion for the current quarter, above analyst estimates, and said DRAM revenue alone passed $100 billion for the full year.
An analysis of Andreessen Horowitz and PNC data published by TechCrunch found that as of May only 2.2% of consumers were paying for AI services, spending an average of $31 a month.
Sources TechCrunchYahoo Finance
The Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee said the likelihood that interconnected vulnerabilities in the financial system crystallise has risen, citing the re-escalation of conflict in the Middle East, higher energy prices and government bond yields at their highest since 2008 in some markets.
Sources Bank of EnglandThe Guardian
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge came in below forecasts for August. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported the PCE price index rose 0.3% on the month and 3.4% from a year earlier, while core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose 0.2% and 3.0%.
US stocks ended September mixed: the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9%, or more than 400 points.
Sources Yahoo FinanceCenter for Economic and Policy Research
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell 6.7 points to 81.9 in September, far below the 89.2 economists expected and the weakest reading in more than twelve years.
US equities closed slightly lower on Tuesday as another jump in long-term Treasury yields weighed on valuations. The S&P 500 fell 0.17% to 7,670.84, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.26% to 51,349.92 and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.09% to 26,797.54.
Sources Los Angeles TimesThe Asia Business DailyStreetSignal
Asian equity markets traded mostly higher on Wednesday while investors waited for the US personal consumption expenditure reading, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
Sources HDFC SkyVantage MarketsBloomberg
US equities started the week lower after a jump in long-dated bond yields pulled indexes further from record levels. The S&P 500 fell 0.8 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 0.7 percent and the Nasdaq Composite 0.9 percent.
Anthropic's IPO prospectus, reported by Reuters, sets sweeping AI ambitions against the cost of pursuing them: revenue of $4.59 billion alongside a heavy operating loss, and long-term cloud, compute and infrastructure commitments of roughly $518 billion.
Nvidia's board of directors authorised an additional $150 billion under the company's existing share repurchase programme, lifting the total remaining authorisation to $235 billion.
Sources NVIDIA Newsroom
Bonds stayed under pressure on Monday as Brent rose 2.1 percent to $106.49 a barrel, almost 18 percent higher this month, after Washington rejected Iran's plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz; constrained refining capacity has pushed diesel to record levels. The Fed raised its target range a quarter point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent on 16 September, Japan's July minutes showed one board member seeking 1.25 percent, and services producer prices rose 3.7 percent. On trade, Washington published reciprocal 30-for-30 lists and China confirmed a truce extension to 10 January.
Sources Channel NewsAsia (Reuters)investingLiveBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemBank of JapanSRN News (Reuters)The White HouseReuters (via Internazionale)
Asia-Pacific equities were mostly lower on Monday and bonds stayed under pressure after Washington rejected an Iranian plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude rose 2.1 percent to $106.49 a barrel, taking this month's gain to almost 18 percent, while US crude added 1.5 percent to $93.84.
The White House has published 30-for-30 product lists under the US-China Board of Trade, naming the goods each side will consider for reduced tariff treatment on a reciprocal basis.
Sources The White HouseThe Straits TimesReuters (via Internazionale)
Profits at China's industrial firms above a designated size rose 15.7 percent year on year in the first eight months of 2026 to 5.27 trillion yuan, the National Bureau of Statistics said.
The flash Euro-zone Composite PMI Output Index rose to 53.1 in September from 52.0 in August, its highest reading since April 2023, according to S&P Global data reported by Reuters.
Sources Business Recorder / Reuters
The US current-account deficit widened by $33.4 billion, or 15.7%, to $246.0 billion in the second quarter of 2026, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported. The deficit equalled 3.0% of current-dollar GDP, up from 2.7% in the first quarter.
Sources US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Spain’s statistics institute reported that GDP increased 0.7% quarter on quarter in the second quarter of 2026, one tenth faster than in the first quarter. Annual growth held at 2.6%, with domestic demand contributing positively while external demand made a negative contribution.
With the deposit rate already lifted to 2.50% in September, the Governing Council’s guidance and the updated staff projections leave a further 25 basis point increase possible in October.
Sources European Central Bank
Investors are heading into the next week focused on U.S. employment and inflation data as markets reassess the Federal Reserve’s tightening path. A Reuters report says the September rate increase and higher Treasury yields have left stocks near records but more exposed to a hotter payrolls or inflation reading.
Sources Reuters via Devdiscourse
BBVA Research says the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% and signalled a hawkish bias as inflation stayed elevated. Its analysis expects one additional increase, while noting that market pricing for a longer tightening cycle may be too aggressive.
Sources BBVA Research
The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point to 3.75%–4.00% at its September meeting. The move ends a long stretch without a hike and keeps monetary policy focused on persistent inflation while officials weigh risks to employment and growth.
Sources Federal Reserve
The U.S. current-account deficit widened to $246.0 billion in the second quarter from a revised $212.6 billion in the first, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Sources U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
The IMF’s World Economic Outlook page lists global growth projections of 3.3% for 2026 and 3.2% for 2027, alongside an expectation that global inflation will continue to fall.
Sources International Monetary Fund
The US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development will publish August new residential sales at 10:00 ET on Thursday, after July sales fell 10.5% month-on-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 607,000 — the slowest pace since January and 6.3% below a year earlier.
S&P 500 futures were little changed in early Wednesday trade after the benchmark closed flat at 7,764.64 on Tuesday, the Nasdaq held at 27,244.28 after Monday's record, and the Dow eased 0.36% to 51,863.69 with UnitedHealth, Caterpillar and Goldman Sachs each down about 1%.
Sources Charles Schwab
Saudi Arabia restarted operations at its East-West Pipeline on Tuesday and was loading its first cargo for China at the Red Sea port of Yanbu the same day, according to three sources, restoring part of its ability to export crude without going through the Strait of Hormuz.
JPMorgan, Jefferies and UBS lifted their forecasts for Meta after its Muse consumer AI assistant hit 2.8 million downloads in 12 days, outpacing the 1.3 million ChatGPT recorded in its equivalent launch window per Apptopia data cited by Reuters.
Sources Reuters via SRN News
S&P 500 futures were little changed in early Wednesday trade after the benchmark closed flat at 7,764.64 on Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite held at 27,244.28 after Monday's record, and the Dow Jones eased 0.36% to 51,863.69 with UnitedHealth, Caterpillar and Goldman Sachs each down about 1%.
Three sources briefed on the matter confirmed on Tuesday that Saudi Aramco has resumed operations along the East-West pipeline and plans to reload a cargo at the Red Sea port of Yanbu, ending the two-week outage triggered by drone strikes launched from Iraq.
The Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.26% to 27,122.09 on Monday for its first closing high in nearly four months, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.49% to 7,764.70 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.71% to 52,048.83.
President Donald Trump will personally greet President Xi Jinping at Joint Base Andrews on Tuesday evening ahead of Thursday's White House summit and a state dinner that Nvidia chief Jensen Huang is expected to attend.
Brent crude rose 0.84% on Tuesday to $101.18 a barrel after four straight sessions of declines, with the market balancing hopes of a Trump-Pezeshkian meeting at the United Nations against the fact that Saudi Arabia has continued moving roughly 2.9 million barrels per day through the Strait of Hormuz.
Sources Trading Economics
For the first time since July 2023 the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have moved in the same direction in the same week, with both raising their policy rates by 25 basis points and both pointing to additional tightening ahead. The Fed's move, Kevin Warsh's first as chair, took the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75 to 4.00 percent and signalled a median endpoint of 4 to 4.25 percent by year-end, with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one more hike in 2026. The ECB cited continued pressure from the Middle East conflict on energy prices and inflation. The combined message.
Gold is on track to close September down roughly 22 percent from the $5,589.38 an ounce record reached earlier this year, with StoneX analysts describing the move as the safe-haven trade starting to unwind alongside shifting US rate expectations.
Sources StoneXHindustan Times
The European Central Bank's Governing Council on Thursday raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, citing continued pressure on inflation from the Middle East conflict and energy markets.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first move since July 2023 and chair Kevin Warsh's first hike, taking the federal funds rate target range to 3.75 percent to 4.00 percent by a unanimous 12-0 FOMC vote.
Sources MoneycontrolANI via Etv Bharat
The pan-European Stoxx 600 closed Friday down 1.1 percent at 635.45, giving up almost all of its gains from the prior two sessions, with the FTSE 100, DAX and CAC 40 all shedding between 1.49 and 1.6 percent on the day.
Sources FXBus
Brent crude settled at $103.87 a barrel on Friday, down 0.91 percent, and West Texas Intermediate closed at $100.30, down 1.58 percent, as traders priced in progress on restoring flows through Saudi Arabia's damaged East-West Pipeline.
Sources Business News Report
Wall Street ended Friday's session mixed, with the S&P 500 up 0.17 percent to 7,650.50 and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.39 percent to 26,522.54 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.18 percent to 51,682.64.
Sources WAM (Emirates News Agency)
The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points on 10 September, taking the deposit facility to 2.50 percent, the main refinancing operations rate to 2.65 percent and the marginal lending facility to 2.90 percent, effective 16 September.
Sources European Central Bank
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 percent on Friday in a 7-2 vote, the highest level since 1995, but the yen weakened as traders focused on dissenters Toichiro Asada and Ayano Sato who voted for a hold and a lack of hawkish forward guidance from Governor Kazuo Ueda.
Sources Business Times
US stocks closed mixed on Thursday with the Nasdaq 100 up 0.79 percent and the S&P 500 up 0.04 percent, while the S&P 500 Equal Weight fell 0.39 percent and the Russell 2000 lost 0.50 percent, underscoring narrow breadth led by mega-cap tech.
Sources 404K Semi-AI
European equities advanced on Thursday with the pan-European STOXX 600 up 0.9 percent to 642.6 points as falling oil prices and a halt to the global bond sell-off boosted risk appetite.
US equities snapped a three-session losing streak on Thursday, with the Dow up 0.61 percent to 51,778.18, the S&P 500 climbing 1.14 percent to 7,637.73 and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 1.69 percent to 26,418.30 as falling oil prices and softer Treasury yields offset the Federal Reserve's hawkish 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday.
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 percent on Friday, the highest level in 31 years, in a 7-2 vote that delivered its second hike in three months and the sixth since exiting ultra-loose policy in 2024.
Sources ReutersAlpha Pilot
US stock futures turned positive in Asian hours on Thursday after the Dow fell 631 points, or 1.21 percent, to 51,461.90 on Wednesday and the S&P 500 slipped 0.45 percent to 7,551.81 following the Fed's hawkish hike.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent on Wednesday, its first increase since 2023, with new Chair Kevin Warsh joining the unanimous vote.
Brent crude settled 2.69 percent lower at $105.83 a barrel on Wednesday and US West Texas Intermediate fell 3.2 percent to $102.43 after Saudi Arabia offered additional cargoes through Oman following drone strikes on the kingdom's East-West pipeline.
Sources News Directory 3Vibe Trader
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, ending a near-three-year easing cycle and putting the central bank at odds with President Donald Trump's preference for a cut.
Sources Associated PressCrypto Briefing
Brent crude held above $106 a barrel in Asian trade on Wednesday, with analysts warning that Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline remains shut after last week's drone strike from Iraq and Riyadh has not disclosed a repair timeline.
Sources CNBCOilPrice.com
Gold slipped from recent record highs on Tuesday as traders squared positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision, with spot XAU/USD quoted near $4,283 an ounce against a backdrop of elevated US 10-year real yields.
Sources 150CurrencyFortune
Bitcoin traded around $77,593 on Tuesday, down 0.01% on the day, with 24-hour volume of $20.6bn on major spot exchanges and dominance at 58.15% as broader crypto slipped 2.31%.
Sources Crypto Market CapCoinStats
Spot gold fell 0.2% to $4,288.49 an ounce in early Asian trade on Tuesday as CME FedWatch priced a 92.4% probability of a 25bp Fed hike at Wednesday's FOMC meeting; the US 10-year Treasury yield held above 5% for the first time since 2023.
Brent crude rose 1.18% to $106.93 per barrel in early Asian trade on Tuesday, with US WTI up 1.24% at $102.65 after gaining 1.3% on Monday. The Saudi East–West pipeline, which reroutes around 4 million barrels a day — about 4% of global supply — to Yanbu on the Red Sea, remains offline after drone strikes, and the kingdom could exhaust export capacity within days if it does not restart operations.
Brent crude is back above $100 a barrel and trading near $108 in early Asian hours on 14 September after a weekend that removed two layers of the world's previous workaround for the Iran-controlled Strait of Hormuz: a drone strike from Iraqi territory forced Saudi Arabia to shut its 1,200 km East–West pipeline, and the planned Iran–Gulf meeting in Muscat on a possible shipping corridor was postponed 'in the interests of consensus'. JPMorgan estimates every extra month of disruption could add $7–8 per barrel to Brent. The risk-off tone carried into equities as the KOSPI opened 3.14% lower.
Sources Reuters via Word Up NewsReuters via Daily Times (Pakistan)SwingFish (Reuters/Investing.com wire)Tokyo TechFlowPost (US Stock Market Trends, 14 Sept)
South Korea's KOSPI opened 3.14% lower at 6,692.61, with SK Hynix sliding about 5.1% as semiconductor and rate-sensitive names led the selloff. Foreign investors were net sellers of 1.3337 trillion won in equities while individuals bought 1.539 trillion won.
Sources Gate NewsSeoul Economic DailyYonhap via Lokmat Times
Saudi Arabia confirmed on Friday that several drones launched from Iraqi territory hit its 1,200 km East–West pipeline in the Riyadh and Medina regions, and Riyadh shut the line as a precaution, removing a corridor that had been moving 4–5 million barrels a day, or roughly 4% of global supply, since the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted.
Sources Reuters via Daily Times (Pakistan)Startup FortuneThe New Region via AzerNews
Brent crude gained about 3% to trade near $108 a barrel in early Asia on 14 September while WTI climbed roughly 2.8% to around $99.33, after Iran and Oman's planned Muscat meeting on a possible Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor was postponed 'in the interests of consensus'.
Sources Reuters via TBS NewsSwingFish (Reuters/Investing.com wire)Gate News (Jin10 wire)
China's August trade data validated the exporter-resilience thesis with exports up 25% year-over-year, imports up 28.2%, and the trade surplus widening to $119 billion, even as the domestic economy awaits stimulus.
Sources Gramercy EM Weekly
Brent crude closed Friday at about $104 a barrel, down roughly 2.9% on the day after the International Energy Agency's September Oil Market Report cut its 2026 global oil demand forecast by 940,000 barrels per day, projecting a 2.5 million b/d annual decline — the deepest since 2020.
The 30-year US Treasury yield closed above 5.32% on Friday — its highest level since 2007 — after peaking at 5.37% intraday as markets priced a near-90% probability of a 25 bp Fed hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, up from about 70% before Friday's hot August CPI print.
Sources Gramercy EM Weekly
KeyBanc Capital Markets warned Apple's September 9 iPhone event could become a negative catalyst for the stock, citing $150 to $200 price hikes across the iPhone 18 Pro line colliding with lower unit-volume expectations and historical announcement-day weakness.
Sources MacRumors
Reuters reported that Federal Reserve rate futures are pricing about an 85 percent chance of a quarter-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting following Friday's hotter-than-expected core CPI reading.
Sources Reuters
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported August consumer prices up 0.4 percent month-over-month and 3.4 percent year-over-year, matching consensus, while core CPI rose 0.3 percent against a 0.2 percent forecast.
Sources WSJ
Oil prices are set to end the week above $100 a barrel for the first time in nearly four months, with Brent up about 1 percent at $108.68 and WTI near $103.45 in early Asian trade on Friday.
Sources Reuters
The European Central Bank raised its deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.50 percent on Thursday, the second hike since the Iran war pushed energy prices higher, and lifted both its growth and inflation projections.
Sources European Central Bank
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the August 2026 Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, the final major inflation print before the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC decision.
Sources U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The European Central Bank's Governing Council is expected to raise its three key policy rates by 25 basis points at its Berlin meeting on Thursday, lifting the deposit facility rate from 2.25% to 2.50% as eurozone inflation stays anchored above target by an Iran-driven energy shock.
Christine Lagarde will lean on the European Central Bank's updated staff macroeconomic projections when she speaks after Thursday's rate decision to frame the expected 25 basis point hike as insurance against the Iran-driven energy shock rather than the start of a sustained tightening cycle.
Sources The KapitalBusinessWorld
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the August Producer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, with consensus expecting a 0.3% monthly rise before Wednesday's Fed September meeting on September 16-17.
Sources WEEXSigmanomics
The European Central Bank's Governing Council meets September 9-10 in Berlin, hosted by the Deutsche Bundesbank, with the rate decision and Christine Lagarde's press conference scheduled for the second day.
Sources Euronext (live)
Brent crude pushed back to the $99 handle in early Asian trading on September 9, with WTI near $94.60 and an intraday Brent high of $99.67, after the US struck several Iranian tankers near Kharg Island and Iran retaliated with ballistic missiles toward Jordan.
Sources Trading EconomicsReuters
The BLS releases the August consumer-price index on Thursday, September 11 at 8:30am Eastern, with consensus calling for a 0.2% monthly rise in headline CPI and an annual rate around 3.4%, little changed from July's 3.36%.
Sources Morningstar
Prediction markets and CME fed funds futures continue to price a near-coin-flip chance of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve hike at the September 15-16 meeting, with Kalshi at 50.0% and CME implied at 57.9% on the latest cross-venue capture.
Sources PredictionMarketsPicksReuters
The European Central Bank's Governing Council meets September 9-10 in Berlin, hosted by the Deutsche Bundesbank, with the rate decision and Christine Lagarde's press conference scheduled for the second day.
Brent crude rallied through September but remained under $100 a barrel on September 8, even as US-Iran escalation has disrupted Gulf exports through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.
Sources Trading EconomicsReuters
The week of 7 to 14 September carries five catalysts. First, the ECBs 9 September decision is priced for a 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%; the question is whether the statement opens the door to a December follow-up. Second, Apples 9 September event is new CEO John Ternuss first keynote and the expected debut of the first foldable iPhone Ultra. Third, the Ballon dOr 2026 nominees are announced on 8 September, with the ceremony in London on 26 October. Fourth, oil is repricing a Hormuz premium. Fifth, the NYT investigation into Aivres tests whether US export controls reach remote Chinese compute.
Sources ECB Watch ToolMacRumors — Apple September 2026 event previewbeIN Sports — Ballon d'Or 2026 nominee announcement dateThe New York Times — Inspur Aivres Blackwell chips
The week of 7 September frames the most synchronised monetary tightening cycle of 2026. The ECB's 9 September meeting is priced at 100% for a 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%, with futures implying a 75% chance of a follow-up to 3.0% by December. The 162,000 August payrolls print pushed Fed September hike odds to 58.4% and the 2-year Treasury yield to 4.377%, its highest since January 2025. The Bank of Japan is now seen at 75% probability of a quarter-point hike on 18 September. The common driver is energy: Brent crude is near USD 96.80 after US strikes on three Iranian tankers.
Sources ECB Watch ToolReuters via LSE — Global Markets AsiaFree Malaysia Today — Wall Street ends lower
ECB Watch Tool prices a 100% probability of a 25-basis-point ECB hike to a 2.75% deposit rate on September 9, with futures implying a 75% chance of another move to 3.0% by year-end.
Sources ECB Watch ToolReuters — ECB to raise rates a second time in September, but then done
US stocks fell on Friday after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 162,000 nonfarm payrolls for August against a 53,000 consensus, with June and July revisions adding another 55,000 jobs and the unemployment rate steady at 4.1%.
Sources Free Malaysia Today — Wall Street ends lowerSwingfolio — US week recap
Asian equities rallied on Monday as Friday's 162,000 August payrolls print was read as supportive for global growth, while oil extended last week's 8-10% rally after US forces struck three Iranian tankers and Iran's Revolutionary Guards fired ballistic missiles at two US Navy ships.
The European Central Bank's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for 9 September, with ECB Watch Tool showing markets imply a 100% probability of a 25bp hike that would lift the deposit facility rate from the current 2.25% to 2.50%.
Sources ECB Watch — market-implied probabilitiesECB — official interest rates
The seven core OPEC+ members — Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman — are due to meet online at 11:00 GMT on Sunday to review October production policy, Reuters reported via OilPrice on 3 September.
Sources OilPrice.com — Reuters report
The Schwab Market Update for the week ending 5 September reported that US payrolls surprised to the upside, with the August print running roughly triple the average economist forecast, leisure and hospitality adding 59,000 jobs and July being revised from negative to a gain of 21,000.
Markets and economists enter the European Central Bank's 9-10 September meeting in Berlin with a near-unanimous expectation of a quarter-point deposit-rate hike to 2.50 percent, the second and likely last move of a tightening cycle that would still be the ECB's shortest in 15 years.
Sources European Central Bank — monetary policy statementEurostat — Euro indicators
Eurostat confirmed on 1 September that euro area annual inflation reached 3.3 percent in August, the highest since September 2023, driven by energy inflation jumping to 14.3 percent from 10.3 percent in July amid the Middle East war, with services inflation easing to a four-month low of 3.0 percent and core inflation at 2.4 percent.
Sources Eurostat — Euro indicatorsThe Economist — The World This Week
US stocks capped the trading week with gains on Friday, the Dow climbing 1.18 percent to 53,686, the S&P 500 1.06 percent to 7,748 and the Nasdaq 1.40 percent to 26,584 after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller urged patience on rates and revived risk appetite.
All 65 economists in a Reuters poll published on 3 September expect the European Central Bank to lift its deposit rate by a quarter point to 2.50 percent at the 10 September meeting, the second increase of a hiking campaign that would be its shortest in 15 years, with about nine in ten expecting no further move this year.
Sources Reuters
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on 3 September he is willing to support holding the policy rate at its current 3.50-3.75 percent range at the 15-16 September meeting if August inflation data shows continued progress toward the 2 percent goal, quipping that policymakers should 'give disinflation a chance'.
Sources ReutersThe Wall Street Journal
The US economy added 162,000 nonfarm jobs in August, the strongest monthly gain since March and far above the roughly 53,000 economists expected, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 4 September.
Sources Bureau of Labor StatisticsQuartz
US stocks snapped a three-day losing streak on 2 September 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.56% at 53,061.89, the S&P 500 up 0.46% at 7,666.63 and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.45% at 26,217.83, while the small-cap Russell 2000 outperformed with a 1.1% gain.
Sources ReutersLocal 10 (AP)
European equities hovered near a one-month low on 2 September 2026, with the pan-European STOXX 600 flat at 647.87 after a Reuters early-session check, Germany's DAX down 0.2% and the FTSE 100 closing 0.3% lower at 10,756.45 as a spike in bond yields and a fresh round of US-Iran strikes reignited energy-inflation fears.
South Korea's consumer price index rose 3.1% year on year in August 2026, the Ministry of Data and Statistics said on 2 September, accelerating from 2.8% in July but undershooting a 3.2% Reuters poll forecast as the headline was inflated by a one-off mobile-bill base effect.
Sources EconoTimesAju Press
US stocks closed sharply lower on Tuesday 1 September 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 419.02 points or 0.79% at 52,766.88, the S&P 500 off 54.67 points or 0.71% at 7,631.47 and the Nasdaq Composite down 271.11 points or 1.03% at 26,099.77.
Asia-Pacific equities fell sharply on 2 September 2026, with Japan's Nikkei 225 futures down 2.6% and Topix off 2.2%, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 losing 1.1%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipping 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite retreating 0.7%.
Sources Business TimesChannel News Asia
The Institute for Supply Management reported on 1 September 2026 that its Manufacturing PMI registered 54.6% in August, down one percentage point from July's 55.6% and missing the 55.3% consensus, marking the eighth consecutive month of expansion after a ten-month contraction stretch that ended in December 2025.
Sources PR NewswireEdgen.tech
Global bond yields pushed to multi-year highs on Tuesday as Brent crude rose above $91 a barrel in Asia trade and the US 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.78%, its highest since early 2025, while Japan's 10-year benchmark touched 3% for the first time in a generation.
Sources Reuters via Los Angeles Post
Asian equities opened lower on Tuesday after a downbeat session on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq fell as oil prices climbed on reports that US forces had struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island.
Sources Europe Says
National Australian home prices fell 0.9% in August from July, the fifth consecutive monthly decline, with property consultant Cotality's data showing values are now 3.1% below the recent peak as the downturn widens beyond Sydney and Melbourne.
Sources News Dive
Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech shifted the Fed debate from when to cut to whether to hike, lifting the implied probability of a September move to 55.7% from 35.4% and pushing short-dated Treasury yields and the dollar higher. Equity reaction split along AI exposure: Nvidia gave back Thursday's post-earnings gains as financing costs rose, while Amazon added roughly $110 billion of market value despite a $7.6 billion free-cash-flow outflow. The September dot-plot will determine if the move is tactical or a tighter-for-longer regime.
Sources MarketScreenerTS2
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole symposium address to warn that the U.S. central bank will have more work to do if inflation does not move convincingly toward its 2% target.
Sources ReutersMarketScreener
Amazon closed Friday up 3.97% at $266.43, adding roughly $110 billion in market value after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said AI growth had exceeded even its proponents' expectations.
Sources TS2
PayPal closed Friday down 12.71% at $53.66 after Reuters reported that a consortium led by Stripe and private equity firm Advent ended its pursuit of the payments company.
Sources TS2
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole symposium address on Friday to argue that short-term rates remain the Fed's 'predominant tool' and that he would be 'hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive,' pushing two-year Treasury yields up 13 basis points to roughly 4.35% and lifting the implied odds of a September rate hike to about 58% from 35% the prior day.
Nvidia reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $96.2 billion on Wednesday, up 18% from the previous quarter and 106% from a year earlier, with Data Center revenue rising 117% to $89.0 billion and both GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins holding at 75.0%.
Marvell Technology fell 10.3% in Friday trading even as CEO Matt Murphy told investors the company's AI-related business is 'robust' and raised forecasts for upcoming revenue growth, with revenue and income for the quarter edging past analyst expectations.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole keynote on Friday to warn that inflation remains too high and that policymakers have 'work to do' if underlying price pressures do not ease, sending the two-year Treasury yield to 4.31 percent, its highest since late July.
European equities closed higher on Friday with the pan-European STOXX 600 up 0.5 percent at 655.16, leaving the index with a modest weekly gain after two consecutive weekly declines.
Sources Reuters via Business TimesReuters via YTV Market News
Asia-Pacific stocks ended Friday's session divided ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote, with Japan's Nikkei 225 rising 0.41 percent to 66,405.56 and Australia's ASX 200 up 0.6 percent while South Korea's Kospi dropped 1.8 percent and China's CSI 300 slipped 0.5 percent.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh takes the podium at the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium in Jackson Lake Lodge, Wyoming, on Friday morning for his first keynote as chair.
Sources Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas CityRegards of Wallstreet
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 1.1% in July to $339.3 billion, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday, well above the 0.5% consensus. Transportation equipment led the gain with a 2.3% rise as nondefense aircraft and parts surged 12.7% after a 51.1% May plunge, while orders excluding transportation climbed 0.4% and the closely watched nondefense capital goods ex-aircraft proxy edged up 0.2% to $85.9 billion.
Sources RTTNewsU.S. Census Bureau
Asian and European equities traded cautiously on Friday morning with currency and bond markets holding their breath for Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote as Fed chair.
The Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium runs Aug. 27-29 with the theme Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy. The conference is closely watched as a venue for central-bank signalling, with the U.S.
Marvell Technology is scheduled to release fiscal second-quarter 2027 results after the U.S. close on Aug. 27, with analysts estimating non-GAAP earnings per share of about 0.93 dollars, up 39 percent year over year, on roughly 2.71 billion dollars in revenue.
Sources Edgen Tech
U.S. second-quarter gross domestic product rose 1.5 percent, down from 2.1 percent in the first quarter, with consumer spending accelerating to 3.2 percent from 0.5 percent earlier.
The Conference Board’s August reading showed US consumer confidence declining. The result adds a softer household signal to the outlook, even as investors continue to weigh inflation, interest rates and labor-market resilience.
Sources Reuters
Germany’s Ifo business-sentiment reading rose more than economists expected in August. The improvement offers a cautiously positive signal for Europe’s largest economy, though survey momentum still has to translate into sustained activity.
Sources Reuters
Minutes showed that four Federal Reserve bank boards favored raising the discount rate. The split is a useful window into regional inflation concerns, even though the recommendation is distinct from the central bank’s policy-rate decision.
Sources Reuters
Asian equity futures pointed mostly lower after semiconductor shares pulled the Nasdaq 100 down nearly 1%. Investors were also weighing softer oil, firmer US Treasuries and a heavy calendar of economic data and corporate earnings.
Sources Bloomberg via Yahoo FinanceABC News / Associated Press
European equities ended broadly flat after weakness in technology shares offset gains elsewhere. Markets also tracked uncertainty around Iran-related sanctions and looked ahead to incoming economic data, keeping risk appetite restrained.
Sources ReutersU.S. News & World Report
Alibaba proposed placing newly issued shares with non-US investors for an aggregate HK$80 billion, subject to market and other conditions. The company says all net proceeds would fund its full-stack AI capabilities, including expanded infrastructure.
Sources Alibaba Group
The ECB's July survey put median inflation expectations at 2.9% for the next 12 months and 2.7% three years ahead, each down 0.1 percentage point from June. Five-year expectations were unchanged at 2.4%, while expected economic growth improved but remained negative.
Sources European Central Bank